When and where will the 2019 NBA Draft Lottery be held?

The 2019 NBA Lottery draw day will be held in Chicago on May 14, 2019, U.S. time. ESPN in the United States will broadcast the draw results live at 8:30 pm in the United States.

Which teams will participate in the lottery draw day?

The 14 teams that did not make the playoffs in the 2018-19 season will be eligible to participate in the lottery day. Here are the odds of the 14 teams winning the No. 1 pick this year:

teamOdds of the No. 1 pick
new york nick14.0%
cleveland knights14.0%
phoenix sun14.0%
Chicago Bulls12.5%
atlanta hawks10.5%
Washington Wizards9.0%
New Orleans Pelican6.0%
Memphis Grizzlies
(The first 8 picks are protected, otherwise they will be transferred to the Boston Celtics)
6.0%
dallas mavericks
(Top 5 picks protected, otherwise they will be transferred to the Atlanta Hawks)
6.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves3.0%
Los Angeles Lakers2.0%
charlotte hornets1.0%
miami heat1.0%
sacramento king
(The No. 1 pick belongs to the Philadelphia 76ers, otherwise it will be transferred to the Celtics)
1.0%

How are the rules for lottery day drawn?

The NBA Board of Governors agreed to change the lottery mechanism on September 28, 2017, and implemented it in the 2019 NBA Draft.

In the revised version, the NBA lottery day will ensure that the team with the worst record in the regular season last season will receive at least the top five picks in the draft. In the previous version, league owners would receive no less than the 4th overall pick.

The new rules will make the chances of getting the No. 1 pick more even. The top three teams in the league last season also had a 14% chance of getting the No. 1 pick; in the previous version of the rules, the bottom team in the league had a chance of as high as 25% or The odds of winning the lottery for the second and third players with the lowest regular season record are 19.9% and 15.6% respectively.

After the top three, the chances of winning the No. 1 pick will gradually decrease. For example, the team with the fourth-worst record in the regular season has a chance of winning the No. 1 pick, dropping to 12.5%; the team with the fifth-worst record has a chance of only 10.5%, and so on.

After the 14 teams have drawn their picks, the draft picks of other playoff teams will be ranked in reverse order according to their record.

What are the chances of each team winning the No. 1 pick?

The probability of the new system in 2019 is also based on the regular season record of the 14 teams in the previous season, and the probability decreases from weak to strong:

Last place in regular season > 14.0% 
Second to last regular season > 14.0%
Third to last in the regular season>14.0%
Fourth from last in the regular season > 12.5%
Fifth from bottom in regular season > 10.5%
Sixth from last in regular season > 9%
7th from last in regular season > 7.5%
Eighth from the bottom in the regular season > 6%
Ninth to last regular season > 4.5%
Tenth from the bottom of the regular season > 3%
11th from the bottom of the regular season > 2%
Twelfth from the bottom of the regular season > 1.5%
Thirteenth from the bottom of the regular season > 1%
Fourteenth from the bottom of the regular season > 0.5%

How to arrange the 15th to 60th picks?

Except for the lottery, the rest of the NBA draft picks are determined by the regular season record of all teams in the league. The 15th-30th picks and the second round (31-60th picks) are all ranked in reverse order by league record. Each team will theoretically receive one pick in the first and second rounds. (Not considering other situations such as transactions)

Which team won last year's No. 1 draft pick?

The Phoenix Suns qualified for the No. 1 pick in 2018, and they ultimately selected DeAndre Ayton with the first overall pick.

When was the NBA Lottery drawing date set? What's the history along the way?

1966-1984 Year: From 1966 to 1984, the two teams with the lowest regular season records in the NBA's East and West divisions would decide who would win the top pick in the draft by guessing coins. The winning team gets the first pick; the losing team gets the second pick; the other teams decide their draft picks for that year in reverse order based on their regular season record.

June 1984:The NBA Board of Directors voted to adopt a new lottery system for teams that did not make the playoffs (or teams that obtained picks through trades) to determine the first-round draft picks, and in 1985 Be implemented in year. The picks in the second round (or in all subsequent rounds, as the 1989 draft was limited to two rounds) are entirely based on the team's record in the previous season.

April 1986:The league's board of directors adopted procedural changes. The lottery system was changed to only the top three draft picks, and the others were ranked in reverse order according to the performance of the regular season. Therefore, the player with the worst record in the regular season is guaranteed to get a draft pick no lower than the fourth overall pick; and the player with the second-worst record in the league is also guaranteed to get a draft pick no lower than the fifth overall pick.

October 1989: The NBA Board of Directors adopted a new weighting system, which was implemented in 1990. Due to expansion, this system includes 11 teams (Chateau and Miami joined the league in the 1988-89 season; Minnesota and Orlando also joined the following season), and there are as many as 11 teams with the worst regular season records. Opportunities to win the No. 1 pick (a total of 66 groups, winning probability 20%); the team with the second-to-last record has 10 groups of opportunities; the team with the best record that has missed the playoffs also has 1 group of opportunities.

November 1993:The league's board of directors approved revisions to increase the chances of winning the lottery for the top three picks of the bottom teams and reduce the chances of winning the lottery for the team with the best record (if they missed the playoffs). The new system will increase the probability of the league's owner to win the No. 1 pick from 16.7% to 25%; similarly, the probability of the team with the best record that misses the playoffs will be revised down from 1.5% to 0.5%. This system will be implemented on the draft lottery day of the following year. Started.

October 1995:In response to the addition of expansion teams from Toronto and Vancouver, the league's board of directors increased the number of participating teams from the original 11 to 13. Since 1996, the bottom player in the league has continued to have a one-quarter chance of being the top pick. The second to sixth players in the league have had a slightly lower probability. The seventh player from the bottom has the same probability as the old system; the eighth player from the bottom has even a slightly smaller chance. increase significantly. The team with the best record that missed the playoffs will have the same chance of winning the No. 1 pick in the draft.

year 2004:The Charlotte Bobcats joined the league, so there were 14 teams on lottery day 2004. However, due to the expansion agreement, the Bobcats were assigned the fourth overall pick in 2004 and therefore were unable to obtain other picks on the lottery day.

September 2017: The NBA Board of Directors agreed to new rules, which significantly lowered the probability of the league's top pick with the same number as the second to last and third pick. After the top three, each team will draw the first pick. The probability dropped slightly. Only the top four picks are determined by the lottery process, and the remaining picks are ranked in reverse order based on the regular season records of the remaining teams. This system takes effect in 2019.

More related articles to read:

Reference for compiling this article:NBA Draft Lottery: Schedule, odds and how it works

By Simon Liang

A die-hard fan of Damian Lillard. He became a fan of the Trail Blazers because of Lillard. I don’t understand the analysis but I understand the story.

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