Hello everyone, I am Simon, one of the founders of The Clutch Time. This series will launch a weekly event of the week. It is expected to compile about 5 pieces of news, and will add my own personal notes and relaxed talk. Welcome to like it. NBA and basketball fans come in and chat together.
This week, we will first talk about the effects of no home field advantage, as well as the winners and losers, then briefly talk about the preliminary study of the 2020 draft, and finally talk about the social issues and origins behind one of the jersey slogans, Say Her Name.
【Simon Weekly】
- 2020803-0809: A variant zone defense developed by Nurse, which makes Joe feel ashamed.
- 2020 0727-0802: MPJ and Antetokounmpo, who always throw the ball in the wrong direction, repeat the KD drama?
1. No home field advantage effect
The most obvious difference between the centralized playoffs in the Orlando bubble and the past is that there is almost no distinction between home and away games, that is, neutral divisions. Although on the one hand, it makes the game more pure and fair, it also highlights that there is indeed a problem without a home court. Let the game go completely different.
The NBA has always been a professional league with obvious home court advantage. The historical winning rate of NBA home teams is around 60%. In the playoffs, it was even more extreme. In 2009-18, the winning rate of teams with home field advantage was as high as 74%. In the seventh game of the series, the home team The winning rate is as high as 75 %. According to records, the home team's shooting percentage will be about 1 % more, and they will get one more whistle, which translates to about 3 points.
In addition to on-court factors, hardware factors also have a lot of influence, such as the home players' feeling of the basket, vision habits, or the away lounge, the quality of the hotel, the fatigue of moving, etc. In the past, home teams Usually get more rest, and the away team has a higher chance of playing consecutive games. And some home courts have natural advantages, such as the higher elevation of the home courts of the Golden Nuggets and Jazz.
Before the start of the playoffs, it was generally believed that in the neutral zone, stronger teams would be more dominant, such as the Bucks, Lakers and Clippers, but now it seems that this is not necessarily the case. These three teams have previously We lost one game in each of the three games. I think the adaptability and concentration of individual players are the distinguishing points. I personally think that the calmer and more composed players will be more advantageous, while the more excited players will lose their sense of rhythm and emotion; The more experienced players should be more adaptable.
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2. No home winner & loser
The playoffs are concentrated in the Orlando bubble. The most obvious difference from the past is that there is almost no distinction between home and away games.
Winner:Kawhi Leonard
Further reading:War Machine Kawhi Leonard’s top 6 playoff moments
As mentioned in the previous point, I think players who are calmer will play better. The most obvious one is Leonard, who plays like a robot. He currently averages 33.3 points, 7.2 rebounds, and 3.8 assists in three games. He is good at mid-range shooting. More than 60%, defensively is the anchor of the team.
Leonard is one of the few players in the NBA whose home and away performance is similar. This season's away performance (28.1 points / 48% / 40.7%) is better than that at home (26.2 / 46% / 35.6%), and Leonard's defense is not affected by the field. factors, his calmness and skill set are definitely the biggest winner without home field advantage.
Winner: Toronto Raptors
The Raptors team is almost composed of experienced players, such as senior veterans such as Kyle Lowry (8), Serge Ibaka (10), Marc Gasol (8), and younger Pascal Siakam (4), Fred VanVleet (4 ) and Norman Powell (5) have also experienced a lot, and they are all on the championship team in 2018-19.
Although they are missing a superstar, the Raptors' experience, mature system and quick defensive response will be their foundation in the playoffs. Coupled with Nick Nurse who is flexible and quick to respond, although they are not the favorites to win the championship, I am quite optimistic about it. The Raptors can perform beyond expectations in the playoffs.
Further reading:Nick Nurse, the master of hidden-mirror attack in Tyrannosaurus Rex Transformation
Loser: Philadelphia 76ers
The biggest loss is definitely the Philadelphia 76ers. Before this article was completed, the 76ers were trailing 0-3 in the series to the Celtics. Before the rematch, the 76ers were the best in the league at Wells Fargo's home court. 29-2, with a 12.7 difference in efficiency at home (8.9) and away from home (-3.8).
The Sixers have the highest fan base in the NBA, and the team happens to have many players who are easily ignited by the atmosphere, such as Joel Embiid, even calm Josh Richardson said that the fans' protection and encouragement made him more excited, "The fans will help us shout the rhythm, especially when we are defensive or see-sawing, it will make us more united."
However, the 76ers' away record before the rematch was only 10-24, which was even worse than the Hornets who did not enter the bubble circle. Their performance in the rematch was mediocre, but now they were beaten every game by the Celtics. The six people are undoubtedly the biggest losers in the bubble circle without a home court.
3. Without the home audience, there will be less flavor.
But without the home fans and the intertwined history and culture of the game, it feels like something is missing.
The most obvious thing in the playoffs is the clash between the Rockets and Thunder, Chris Paul vs. James Harden,Russell Westbrook Facing his old team, the Thunder, what kind of treatment will the Rockets give Paul, who has made great achievements but broke up on bad terms, at home, and how Thunder fans with mixed feelings will react to the past city heroes. Unfortunately, we in the bubble circle don’t know these things. can not see.
Further reading:2The all-powerful legend of the 1st century? Russell Westbrook’s Top 5 Regular Season Peak Moments
Without the noise and cheers of the home fans, players and coaches must rely on themselves to get excited and boost their spirits. "It's really weird without the cheers of the fans. We have to cheer each other up to boost morale." Eric Gordon said.
However, some football commentators believe that despite the lack of fans, players will still be in the situation at the critical decisive moment. Magic general manager John Hammond believes that the home court advantage will not make much difference, "In the final four minutes of the decisive moment, the real star players will still be fully focused. ” Some players also said that they prefer to play away from home, especially players who are tough and wild at best, but provocative and inciting emotions at worst, such as brothers Patrick Beverley and Morris.
However, in the playoffs, the home court is like a fortress. Kevin McHale once set a 40-1 home record with the Celtics in the 1985-86 season, which is still the league record (tied with the 20-15-16 Spurs). He believes Playing at home is a mood change, especially for late-seeds. "In a series, there is always the thought of 'we are going back to home, and we will tie the game there,' especially when we are behind 0-2."
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A first look at the 2020 draft
The Timberwolves were represented by D'Angelo Russell and were selected as the No. 1 pick. However, in recent years they have collected many No. 1 picks, but their development has not been ideal. Andre Wiggins was a complete failure. The Timberwolves are a team that is extremely bad at development. Looking at the past drafts, almost all of them are unsatisfactory. Except for Karl-Anthony Towns, Jonny Flynn, Williams, and Kris Dunn failed to develop in the lottery picks, and Zach LaVine , Ricky Rubio only broke out after moving to other teams. This year is a small year for the draft. Instead of selecting LaMelo Ball, who needs the ball and development, or James Wiseman, who has a somewhat overlapping position, perhaps it would be better for the Timberwolves to trade the No. 1 pick for a young forward, such as Brandon Ingram, to partner Towns and Russell. choose.
The Warriors took second place. I actually think that because it is a young year in the draft, the Warriors can choose a guard with stronger ball-handling ability to fill in the depth, which will also coincide with the aging trend. Anthony Edwards, who has defense and physical fitness, is currently the best player on the table. A good choice, but Wiseman, who has excellent defense and can take advantage of the pie, would also be a good choice.
The next picks are Hornets-Bulls-Cavaliers-Hawks-Pistons-Knicks-Wizards-Suns-Spurs-Kings-Pelicans-Celtic. After a long time, it seems that the Knicks who only have the eighth pick will take a long time to turn around. , and the Spurs finally have a lottery pick, and it is exciting to see what kind of treasure they can get.
#Say Her Name
NBA games in the bubble circle allow players to embroider words on the back of their jerseys to express their demands. It lists 29 slogan options to use a more rational and gentle expression to prevent players from using indecent words.
Most players use Black Lives Matter, Vote, I Can't Breathe, Justice, Peace, Equality, Freedom, Enough, etc. to express anti-racial discrimination in response to the social issues caused by George Floyd.
However, some players such as Donovan Mitchell used Say Her Name. I didn’t know what it meant at first, but after checking the information, I found out that the “Say Her Name” movement was based on speaking out about black women who died due to unfair treatment. Name, hoping to awaken the public's attention to black women's rights.
Among them, the Breonna Taylor incident was another tragedy in which a black man died due to excessive police enforcement. In March this year, Taylor, who was only 26 years old, was shot and killed by Louisville police in her sleep. At that time, many demonstrators protested and called for The police involved in the case were arrested, but in terms of attention, it was still not comparable to the subsequent "Floyd incident". However, the WNBA players did not want to let this incident end. In the opening game, Layshia Clarendon of the Liberty team and the Storm team Breanna Stewart spoke as a representative and said she would be the voice in silence. Players from both teams left the field during the playing of the national anthem to express their demands through silent protest.
The NBA also has players supporting him, including meeting with Taylor's mother online to ask how they can help. Jerami Grant of the Golden Nuggets also took the initiative to mention this matter in the interview, repeating it before every question. Tobias Harris of the Sixers also took the initiative to ask the prosecutorial system to take action, and pointed out that Cartage State's Attorney General Daniel Cameron. Stars such as LeBron James, CJ McCollum, Paul George, Marcus Smart, Donovan Mitchell and Chris Paul have all spoken out for this.
Lance Thomas of the Nets, Harry Giles III of the Kings, Jonathan Williams and Mitchell of the Wizards chose to wear jerseys with the slogan #Say Her Name.
